Friday, March 01, 2013

"As in the Great Depression, millions are suffering unemployed—but this time they’re invisible”


Mort Zuckerman, presidential aide to SEVERAL presidents and Editor of US News and World reports, and not exactly a flaming right winger.
Why does this president REFUSE to consider any practical solution set outside his ABSURD ideology which is clearly not just failing, but causing the disintegration of those tendons which hold the USA together?
Why doesn’t he care for any other solution than a larger govt, collecting more taxes, and sending out more checks, controlled by growing administrative power?
We have all seen the ghost towns created when an in-town area is hit with the small blight as a mall opens where land for parking and concentration of shopping is available on the fringes. Too many times the towns unprofessional councils have responded by raising taxes and parking on the businesses and people left creating a death spiral which empties out the centers of formerly vibrant towns in less than a generation.
Low labor cost nations ARE the malls to the USA’s downtown.
And WE are stuck downtown.
Until we move.
ALSO.
The USA is an idea and if the idea is lost…. BYE. That IS how it will be.

Mort Zuckerman: The Jobs Picture Is Far Worse Than It Looks

As in the Great Depression, millions are suffering unemployed—but this time they’re invisible

We think of the iconic images of the Great Depression as representative of a uniquely miserable period, long vanished from American history. The bread lines and soup kitchens of those abnormal times have gone. So, too, has the sight of thousands of men (there were very few women among them then) waiting all day outside a factory in a forlorn quest for work.
But they’re there still, in the many millions across the country—little changed in their total since the 1930s: 12.3 million today are fully unemployed, compared to 12.8 million in 1933 at the depth of the depression. The difference is that now they’re invisible, because we’ve organized relief differently. In our “recovery,” the millions are being assisted, out of sight, by the government, through unemployment checks, Social Security disability checks, and food stamps. More than 47 million Americans are in the food stamp program, some 15 percent of the total population, compared with the 7.9 percent participation in food stamps from 1970 to 2000. Then there are the more than 11 million Americans who are collecting checks from Social Security to compensate for disability, a record. Half of them have signed on since President Obama came to office. Twenty years ago, one person was on disability for every 35 workers; today, the ratio is one for every 16. Such an increase is simply impossible to explain by disability experienced during employment, for it is inconceivable that work in America has become so much more dangerous. For many, this program is another unemployment program, only this time it is without end.

But the predicament of our times is worse than that, and worse in its way than the 1930s figures might suggest. Employers are either shortening the workweek or asking employees to take unpaid leave in unprecedented numbers. Neither those on disability nor those on leave are included in the unemployment numbers. The labor market, which peaked in November 2007 when there were 139,143,000 jobs, now encompasses only 132,705,000 workers, a drop of 6.4 million jobs from the peak. The only work that has increased is part-time work, and that is because it allows employers to reduce costs through a diminished benefit package or none at all.

There’s more.
Altogether, the broadest measure of unemployment today is approximately 14.5 percent, way above the 7.9 percent headline number you read about. The figure encompasses not only the unemployed but also the 8 million people who are employed part time because their hours have been cut back or because they have been unable to find a full-time job, and the more than 7 million people who have either stopped looking for work or are only “marginally attached” to the labor force.
Indeed, the labor force participation rate, which measures the number of people in the workforce and reflects discouraged workers who have dropped out, has dropped to the lowest level since 1984. If it were not for the dropouts, the formal unemployment rate would be around 9.8 percent. If the percentage of people looking for work now were the same as on the day that Obama was elected, the unemployment rate would be almost 11 percent.
Sometimes the announced employment numbers are not understood. January was supposed to have created 157,000 jobs, provoking relief and even enthusiasm. But that news was based on seasonally adjusted numbers. The real unadjusted figures show that 2.8 million jobs actually disappeared in January, slightly more than the 2.6 million lost last January. This new number of 157,000 was cheered, though it was less than the 311,000 of January 2012, because most commentators didn’t understand the effects of seasonal adjustment.
So there is no solace in the statistics.

One study by researchers at the American Enterprise Institute and the Center for Economic and Policy Research shows that a worker between the ages of 50 and 61 unemployed for over a year has only a 9 percent chance of finding a job in the next three months and only a 6 percent chance if he or she is 62 years or older. At the current growth rate, it will take almost seven years to restore the jobs lost. Jobseekers are only one third as likely to find a job as they were seven years ago, and a record number of households have at least one member looking for a job, which affects everyone. The recession has clearly shown that employers now think they can make do with fewer workers. Over 20 percent of companies now say that employment in their firms will not return to pre-recession levels

6 comments:

Always On Watch said...

Yesterday, I had a heated argument about sequestration with a client.
She considers herself a conservative.

Yet, this woman has swallowed the Obama administration's propaganda about how all sorts of suffering will ensue if we have sequestration. Not the least of that suffering being what will happen to her husband, a federal worker.

God forbid that her father's Medicaid be cut. She won't take him in, of course. That would interfere with her family's life.

Whine, whine, whine.

This woman claims to believe in small government. But God forbid that her son's subsidized speech therapy be cut -- never mind that he's been getting "free" therapy for over 10 years -- WITH LITTLE RESULT.

Apparently, many Americans do not want any cuts or sacrifice to have any personal effect.

The entitlement mentality is everywhere -- and not only on the Left. People do not understand that the government doesn't have any money other than the money extracted from the taxpayers' pockets.

People have been, in one way or another, sucking on the government teat for decades. And they don't even realize that they are doing so!

The federal government's tentacles extend into everything: education, subsidizing the building of fire department buildings (here in the D.C. area), and on and on.

People refuse to recognize economic realities. They are incapable of peering into the future far enough to see that their children will become adults that are serfs.

Pastorius said...

So glad someone of substance is saying it, instead of just the cooks at IBA.

Epaminondas said...

AoW, if your comment is NOT a perfect description of MORAL HAZARD I cannot imagine what is.

That's no conservative client.

Epaminondas said...

I LONG for the days I had to pay for private garbage haul away.

My real estate taxes were LITERALLY 1/12 what they are now.
My weekly garbage fees were $2 and when we had more that I could not get out to the 'real' road (the one we DIDN'T BUILD and DON'T MAINTAIN), we left a note and $5 bill in an envelope on the can or bag and they would drive down the road we DID BUILD and DO maintain, and get it.

AND WE HAD MORE DISPOSABLE INCOME, MOST OF WHICH WE SPENT

Unknown said...

Hi guys here's a great post on where it will really matter, can't help feeling this was his goal all along.

http://www.mfs-theothernews.com/2013/03/dead-in-water-obamas-military-no-chance.html

Always On Watch said...

Epa,
By most criteria, this woman would be considered a conservative.

But she is INCAPABLE of getting past the entitlement mentality. Her thinking goes like this: "I pay taxes, so I am entitled to all these services." Hell, her oldest child is working his way through community college by working as a lifeguard at one of the county pools. She refuses to SEE that the taxpayers are paying his salary.

SMALL GOVERNMENT IS IMPOSSIBLE IF PEOPLE ARE GOING TO THINK THE SAME WAY AS MY CLIENT.

BTW, she married a man with some kind of genetic speech impediment. ALL FOUR KIDS have speech impediments. Surprise! But she bitches like hell when her kids speech therapy is cut back or terminated.

I tell you that I'm losing respect for a lot of people with whom I have to deal on a daily basis.